Apr 22, 2020, 5:33 PM
By James Dmitro Makienko
This is exactly how Arab Spring started nearly ten years ago – and Maria’s father predicted it ten years before it happened – looking at the dynamic of unemployment among young men in middle eastern countries.
When young men have no opportunities in economic, intellectual or sexual marketplaces they take their talents to the marketplace of violence. It is a high-risk – high reward (or rate of return) enterprise.
They form packs to see if they can equalize, distribute and reduce high risk (i.e learn basic squad tactics).
Then it scales. Squads -> platoons -> companies -> battalions -> regiments -> brigades(or divisions) – > corps -> armies -> state.
They keep using violence to get returns while there is an economic incentive for them to do so, or until they meet far greater violence that they cannot easily overcome.
And this is how the new elite eventually emerges. Through their merit of how they balance violence, economics and scalability.